Evidence class
Published information
- SourceOfficial operator document
- StatementStated maximum or window
- MeaningPublished maximum, not typical
Published is not observed
A published figure is what the operator wrote. An observed figure is what a set of recorded redemptions actually did. They are never averaged together.
Evidence class
Observed information
- RecordsDated, completed, eligible redemption records
- Eligibility filtersMethod and currency
- Cohort filtersFirst or repeat redemption
- Observed outputs
- Median
- Range
- Sample size
Complete text equivalent
- Published information
- An official operator document leads to a stated maximum or window. Its meaning is “Published maximum, not typical.”
- Observed information
- Dated completed eligible redemption records are separated by method and currency, then by first or repeat redemption. The resulting observed outputs are median, range, and sample size.
If an operator says a prize “may take up to ten (10) days”, that is a stated maximum. It is not evidence that ten days is typical, and it is not evidence that any specific reader will be paid in ten days. Observed medians, when they exist, sit in a separate column with a sample size.
See methodology and the cashout-times table, which keep the two columns apart.